Dalgacık-Gen İfade Programlama ile Meteorolojik Kuraklık Tahmini: Çanakkale Örneği

نویسندگان

چکیده

The differences in duration and amount of precipitation significantly affect the drought due to global climate change last decades. Therefore, is one parameters be considered for sustainable water resources studies. In this study, firstly, by using historical records between years 1975-2010, indices 3-, 6-, 9- 12- months Çanakkale, Bozcaada, Gökçeada stations were determined with standardized index (SPI). Then, gene expression programming (GEP) models developed which values Bozcaada selected as input prediction Çanakkale province. addition, W-GEP a sub-series same inputs produced wavelet transform (W). Examining models, determination coefficients (R2) 12-months periods generally higher than 0.80 GEP models. contrast, R2 value 3- month period was approximately 0.657 0.704, respectively. highest 0.868 model during 6- period. As result, approaches found successful estimation drought.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mehmet Akif Ersoy üniversitesi fen bilimleri enstitüsü

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1309-2243']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.29048/makufebed.1177323